Villager Homes

Market Reports · 18 June 2026

Bank Rate held at 3.75% for a third time: what the June 2026 MPC decision means for buyers and remortgagers in Huntingdonshire.

The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% on 18 June with May CPI unchanged at 2.8%. What it means for buyers and remortgagers across Huntingdonshire.

By Kye Liddle, Villager Homes

At a glance

Five things to know about the June 2026 rate decision.

  1. 01

    Rate unchanged

    Bank Rate stays at 3.75%, the third consecutive hold since the December 2025 cut.

  2. 02

    May CPI: 2.8%

    Inflation unchanged from April, still above the 2% target but not accelerating.

  3. 03

    No imminent move

    The Bank sees energy-price risk in Q3 and Q4 and is not in a rush to act.

  4. 04

    Fixed rates near 5.65%

    Lenders cut throughout June. Today's hold may slow further reductions.

  5. 05

    Next decision: August

    The following MPC meeting is in early August, two months for conditions to shift.

Bank Rate stays at 3.75% after the Monetary Policy Committee voted to hold on 18 June 2026, the third consecutive hold since the rate was cut to 3.75% in December 2025. The Office for National Statistics released May 2026 CPI data on 17 June, showing inflation unchanged at 2.8%, giving the committee no strong signal to move rates in either direction. For buyers and remortgagers across Huntingdonshire, the rate environment stays stable for the next six to eight weeks, until the following MPC decision in early August. Fixed-rate mortgage pricing follows swap rates rather than Bank Rate directly, so the key question for local buyers is whether lender cuts continue or plateau.

What did the MPC decide on 18 June 2026?

The MPC voted to hold Bank Rate at 3.75%, keeping it at the level set in December 2025. At its April meeting, the committee held by 8 votes to 1, with one member voting for a 25 basis-point rise to 4%. Governor Andrew Bailey and deputy governor Sarah Breeden both signalled in the weeks before June that the committee saw no case for immediate action in either direction.

The May CPI reading of 2.8%, released by the ONS on 17 June, supported that view. Transport inflation accelerated to 6.8% in May, driven by higher fuel prices and air fares, while food price growth eased to 2.2%. The mixed picture gave the committee no clear reason to cut or raise, and the decision was consistent with the broader pattern of holding while the Bank waits for a clearer trend.

Why has the Bank held rates again?

Three pressures are keeping the committee in place. First, CPI at 2.8% is still materially above the Bank's 2% target, and the Bank's own projections show inflation could tick up again in Q3 and Q4 2026 as energy-price increases work through supply chains. Second, the labour market remains tight: wage growth and services inflation are both higher than the Bank would like as context for a cut. Third, global energy markets are unsettled following the Middle East conflict, and the committee prefers to wait for clearer data before committing to a direction.

Governor Bailey has said publicly that the Bank is not in a rush to raise rates. That same caution has kept cuts off the table for now. The result is a committee that is watching and waiting, with a preference for stability while the macro picture remains mixed.

What does this mean for fixed-rate mortgages?

Fixed-rate mortgages do not move in lockstep with Bank Rate. They track swap rates, which price in where markets expect Bank Rate to be over the next two or five years. In the weeks before 18 June, lenders including NatWest, HSBC, Barclays and Santander had already been cutting their fixed rates, with the two-year average falling to around 5.65% across the market, as we covered in our June 2026 mortgage rates roundup.

Whether that trend continues depends on how the market reads the June 18 minutes. If the MPC language is broadly neutral, swap rates are likely to hold steady and lender cuts may continue at a slow pace. If the minutes show more members tilting hawkish, swap rates could edge up and lenders may pause or reverse course. Either way, fixed rates today are lower than they were six months ago and higher than they were in 2022. The window for securing a competitive fix is open, but it may not stay open for much longer.

For tracker and variable-rate mortgages, a hold means no immediate change. Standard variable rates, which typically run at 7 to 8%, stay where they are. If you are sitting on an SVR after a fixed deal expired, this is still an expensive position regardless of today's decision.

Which parts of the Huntingdonshire patch feel this most?

Everyone in the patch with a mortgage is affected by the rate environment, but the impact concentrates in particular corridors.

The A14 east-west corridor, from Brampton and Huntingdon through Godmanchester, Hartford, the Hemingfords and out to St Ives, sees the highest volume of buyers commuting toward Cambridge-based employers. Property values along that corridor tend to be higher, so loan balances are larger and the difference between a 4.5% rate and 5.65% is felt more sharply in monthly payments.

Remortgagers across the patch who took out two or three-year fixes in 2022 or 2023, at rates between 4% and 4.5%, now face the starkest comparison. On a £250,000 mortgage, moving from 4.5% to 5.65% adds around £1,900 to the annual payment. That is a significant increase, but still well below the SVR exposure that comes from doing nothing when a fixed deal ends.

What should buyers and remortgagers do before the next MPC meeting?

Three steps are worth taking before the following MPC decision in early August.

  1. If you are within three to six months of coming off a fix, speak to a mortgage broker now. Product transfer rates are typically available well before your end date, and locking in removes the risk of rates rising between now and August.
  2. If you are thinking of buying anywhere in the patch, start with a current property valuation. Knowing what your home is worth tells you exactly which loan-to-value band you sit in, which directly affects the rates available. Villager Homes offers free valuations across the patch, from Huntingdon to the far west villages.
  3. If you are on an SVR, the case for fixing is straightforward at current spreads. An SVR at 7 to 8% versus a five-year fix at around 5.65% is a meaningful saving. Waiting for a cut that may not arrive until late 2026 or beyond is a costly approach.

Sources: Bank of England, Monetary Policy Summary and Minutes, June 2026, published 18 June 2026. ONS, Consumer Price Inflation UK: May 2026, published 17 June 2026. Lender rate data as reported in June 2026. This article is general market information, not financial advice. Speak to a qualified mortgage adviser before making any borrowing decisions.

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